Just How Accurate is Punxsutawney Phil?

Will he see his shadow or not?!

This Sunday is Groundhog Day, when America “attempts to capture the true excitement of a large squirrel predicting the weather.”

But even though 4% of people believe Punxsutawney Phil is always 100% right, that’s definitely not the case.

Phil is not even the most accurate weather-predicting groundhog. In honor of Groundhog Day, the weather service NOAA put together some stats on the groundhogs from across the U.S., to see who’s been the most accurate over the past couple decades. 1st place goes to Staten Island Chuck, out of New York. His accuracy is 85%.

In second with 80% is General Beauregard Lee, out of Georgia.

Third went to Lander Lil, out of Wyoming. She isn’t an actual groundhog. She’s a bronze statue of a prairie dog and she’s right 75% of the time.

Punxsutawney Phil comes in at number 17 with 35%.